Exit polls predict Cong win in Rajasthan but loss in Mizoram; BJP uncertain in MP, Chhattisgarh; TRS to retain Telangana
The exit polls for the five Assembly elections project an advantage to the Congress, which is seen wresting Rajasthan from the BJP and putting saffron party on the tenterhooks in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. The TRS is projected to retain Telangana by majority whereas the Congress may end up losing Mizoram, its lone seat of power in North-East.
Though a buzz was created during the last week that the BJP was catching up the Congress in Rajasthan, exit polls show that the Congress may emerge a clear winner in the State, riding on the voters’ angst against the Vasundhara Raje Government. In fact, India Today-Axis exit poll has projected the Congrrss wresting the State with near two-third majority by winning as many as 141 out of 199 seats. The BJP, it added, may win 55-72 seats. Times Now-CNX forecast 105 seats for the Congress and 85 for the BJP.
However, Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat forecast a tighter race between the two parties. It gave the Congress and the BJP 81-101 and 83-103 seats respectively.
When it comes to Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, the exit polls are as divided as the main contestants — the BJP and the Congress — though a poll conducted by the NDTV showed the Congress ahead in both the States by a slight margin… In MP, while Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat gave 108-128 seats to the BJP and 95-115 to the Congress in the 230-member Madhya Pradesh Assembly, India Today-Axis said the saffron party could win 102-120 seats as against 104-122 for the Congress.
However, the Times Now-CNX exit poll predicted a majority for the BJP in MP with 126 seats and gave the Congress 89 seats. ABP News exit poll said the Congress is likely to get a majority by bagging 126 seats. The BJP, it added, would get 94 seats.
Exit polls have given a slight edge to the Congress in Chhattisgarh. The half-way mark in the 90-seat Assembly is 46 seats. In 2013, the BJP had won 49 seats, the Congress 39 while the BSP bagged 1 seat.
Here’s a look at all exit poll results for Chhattisgarh. Republic-C Voter predicted 35-43 seats for the BJP and 40-50 for the Congress while the News Nation forecast a close race with 38-42 seats for the BJP and 40-44 for the Congress.
Times Now-CNX, however, gave a simple majority to the BJP in Chhattisgarh, saying it may win 46 seats while the Opposition Congress may bag 35 seats. ABP News said the BJP may get up to 52 seats against 35 of the Congress.
However, India Today-Axis predicted the Congress is set to end Chief Minister Raman Singh’s 15-year old reign by winning anywhere between 55-65 seats. The BJP, it said, may be reduced to 21-31 seats.
All the exit polls said the alliance of former Chief Minister Ajit Jogi’s Janta Congress Chhattisgarh (Jogi) and the BSP may win three to eight seats, which may help him to emerge as a kingmaker in the event of a hung House.
Exit polls were almost unanimous in predicting that TRS president and Chief Minister K Chandrashekar Rao’s gamble of advancing the Assembly polls will pay off and he will retain power.
Republic TV and Times Now forecast that his party will win 50-65 and 66 seats in the 119-member Assembly. TV9 Telugu and India Today forecast a tally between 75-85 and 75-91 for the TRS respectively.
Some exit polls saw a tighter battle between the TRS and the Congress-TDP combine. The counting of votes for five States, including Mizoram besides the four States, will be take place on December 11.
In Mizoram, the India Today-Axis My India exit poll the ruling Indian National Congress is trailing behind the Mizo National Front (MNF). While the MNF is likely to secure 16-22 seats in the 40-member Mizoram Assembly, the Congress, that ruled the State for the previous two terms, may secure 8-12 seats.
The Zoram People’s Movement (ZPM) is seen to be emerging as a disruptive force denting the MNF and Congress in the State.
Parties confident, won’t say die before Dec 11
Even as the exit polls sent a confusing signal for Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh and victory for the Congress in Rajasthan, both the major political parties — BJP and Congress — exuded confidence that comes the counting day — December 11 — and they will have the last laugh. It is a different matter that top leaders of both the parties refrained from making any tall claims and left the task to their spokespersons.
AICC secretary in charge Pranav Jha said as the surveys have been exhibiting, the similar overwhelming response was seen among party workers and the voters in all the poll-bound States.
“The results may be more exciting than the current media surveys and that we will win all the five States, including Telangana and Mizoram. Appreciate the efforts of exit polls which have given the Congress a clear majority in all the States but as per our feedback from our volunteers and party workers, we will win more. We don’t have any confusion as is being shown in some of the surveys,” said Pranav reacting to the exit polls. He was also involved in the campaign in Madhya Pradesh, Chhatisgarh, and Rajasthan.
However, Madhya Pradesh BJP spokesman Dr. Hitesh Bajpai, who was accorded a Cabinet rank status in the Shivraj Singh Chauhan Government, said the results are not in sync with the reality on the ground. “We will win a majority and form a Government, though the number of seats that we will win can be a little less than what we won in 2013,” he said.
The ruling TRS and Opposition Congress-led People’s Front too expressed confidence that they would win the Telangana Assembly polls. While the TRS stated exit poll predictions are correct, the Congress said there will be surprises. State Congress president N Uttam Kumar Reddy said the People’s Front, comprising the Congress, the TDP, the CPI, and Telangana Jana Samiti, would get over 80 seats in the 119-member House and that exit polls would be proven wrong. He said the number could go up if the voting percentage was higher.
BJP spokesperson Krishna Sagar Rao too exuded confidence that exit polls were just an entertainment show and that this time people has voted for Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s vision in the State.
Congress leader and a strong contender for the Chief Minister in Rajasthan, Sachin Pilot, thanked the voters and expressed his confidence and said surveys were on the same line and that the results on Tuesday could be far better. Read more posts…
Saturday, 08 December 2018 | PNS | New Delhi—
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